Susan Woodward ofSand Hill Econometricsrecently told me that the decline in the number of people who work for themselves in incorporated businesses over the last couple of years was worse than I described previously (Have We Lost a Generation of Small Business Owners?). She explained that the number of incorporated self-employed dropped a whopping 16 percent from the peak in August 2008 through March 2011 if you adjust the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ figures for seasonality. After making that adjustment she finds that 948,000 self-employed heads of corporations disappeared from the economy.
Interestingly, Woodward’s figures indicate that the decline in incorporated self-employment began at a very different point from the decrease in unincorporated self-employment. Unincorporated self-employment peaked in December 2006, about the same time that consumption of consumer durables started to decline in placeswhere households were highly leveraged. By contrast, as the figure below shows, incorporated self-employment reached its peak in August 2008, just before Lehman Brothers went under.
Thus, incorporated self-employment rose for three quarters of a year after the National Bureau of Economic Research said the Great Recession was underway and has continued to decline for one and three quarters years since the NBER said the Great Recession was over. Moreover, unlike other economic indicators, the number of incorporated self-employed has yet to recover.
Incorporated self-employment, seasonally adjusted, 2004-2011
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